Since the 2011 New Years GUPPS turned out Uncommon, and there have obviously been more members signing up since then (hence bringing more chances to RECEIVE this outcome to the active userbase), it's VERY likely this will just be an Uncommon, NOT a Rare.
People really shouldn't be feeding demand and offering overpay every single time a "rarer" outcome comes out. It makes others EXPECT overpay, and I've gotten two trade cancels from people just like this. It's so annoying. :I Still need one for my boyfriend and I. Argh.