December 18th: Re-release discussion

[Babypoke]

Got these guys was hoping for a ur but I did get a list bunny

Adopt virtual pets at Chicken Smoothie!


Adopt virtual pets at Chicken Smoothie!

Adopt virtual pets at Chicken Smoothie!

Atleast they were all wishlists for my collection

I manage to offsite trade for the flamingo so I’m happy about that

[Osborn]

this is my first year not missing dec 18th and i think i got pretty lucky with this rat especially : )

Awww the speckled rats are so cute! Hopefully you get your favorite outcome!
I don’t understand why people get so upset over omgsr rats honestly, they might not have good demand but they’re cute and you’re getting it for free anyway

[lovesamillionstories]

I was stopped by rollover but I just spent about an hour just adopting pets from the December 18th boxes off account to try and calculate the chances of getting an UR.

I was able to adopt from box one 400 times, and then 300 times from box two and box three, I hoped to do 400 for all three boxes but rollover happened right after I hit the 400 mark for box one, so I think the box one data is probably the most accurate
After some very simple calculations I got these numbers

Box 1- 12.5% Chance
Box 2-2%
Box 3-1%

Out of 400 adopts from Box 1, I pulled 50 UR pets

Out of the 300 adopts each from Box 2 and Box 3, I pulled 6 UR from box 2 and 3 UR from box 3

Once I had that data I put it in a probability calculator.

The chances of pulling an UR pet on the 18th are around 15%, which is quite low, but honestly a little higher than I expected it to be. The chance of pulling an UR from all three boxes are incredibly low, at only 0.0025%, but it is possible, just an incredibly low chance.

The chance of pulling an UR pet from both box one and box two are 0.25%. The chances of pulling an UR from box one and box three are 0.125% and the chances of pulling an UR pet from box two and box three are 0.02%. There's around a 0.4% chance of getting two UR pets, which is very low but it's about 160 times higher than the chance of getting three UR pets.

So if you somehow pulled more than one UR pet congratulations! You were blessed by the probability Gods.
If you even pulled one, good for you, that was lucky!

[Centri]

Aww, of all the days to forget to log in...
Oh well, maybe it's just as well, I haven't received anything moderately valuable since 2009 anyway, probably didn't miss much

[Purgatory K9]

I dunno if this lil guy is going to end up being part of my collection or trade fodder. I’m not a big fan of rats buuuut, he’s a little cute

[Sixx O'Clock]

I just realized that all three of my adopts are originally from 2010. One from January, and two from October, though one of those is from Halloween specifically.

[Ruekea]

The day I waited for all year, and I missed it.

Truly tragic!! This happened to me last year just by a couple hours because I forgot my time zone is different ):

[Angelicangel252]

The chances of pulling an UR pet on the 18th are around 15%, which is quite low, but honestly a little higher than I expected it to be. The chance of pulling an UR from all three boxes are incredibly low, at only 0.0025%, but it is possible, just an incredibly low chance.

So would that make an UR worth around 6-7 Very Rares? /hj

[Sixx O'Clock]

The chances of pulling an UR pet on the 18th are around 15%, which is quite low, but honestly a little higher than I expected it to be. The chance of pulling an UR from all three boxes are incredibly low, at only 0.0025%, but it is possible, just an incredibly low chance.

So would that make an UR worth around 6-7 Very Rares? /hj

Man I wish. Would make them so much easier to trade for. eue

[Prince Jackdaw]

Adopt virtual pets at Chicken Smoothie!

Uhhh
well
I'd say it went pretty well