Recent Rarity Change List [January Update in progress!!]

[In The Darke]

Does anyone think that this one will go rare?
Just asking because since the Snowflake 2nd Gen went rare, Im hoping this one does too

[Vanendra]

yeah i think he will turn rare soon, do you think this one will? I haven't seen many of these around:

[Lil'Tiger]

Does anyone think that this one will go rare?
Just asking because since the Snowflake 2nd Gen went rare, Im hoping this one does too

Probably in the next few months or so.

I'm thinking that the black music horse will a smile will be uncommon at first, but will become rare about next month or so.

[Solloby]

Well here's a thought. We do not know the percentage cutoffs for the different rarities but there's this...
I just looked at Hunter The Hunter's collection of maps. (The ones you traded to him for your set of Royal Lions at the Faire a few weeks ago) He's got 15,993. This means he released that many sets of Royal Lions into circulation. And they are not Rare but Uncommon. Put another way, there are 15,933 of each lion as they were released as a set. So we know to become rare there has to be at least a little less than this number. Therefore there have to be AT LEAST 16,000 Shima Longtails. I don't think there are 30 thousand though just because there were far far fewer members back then. (don't know the exact number) And while each person did not get a Shima Longtail from their adoptions that month. Some people got two or three so this might even it out. Can anybody find out how many members there were listed back in November of 2009?

... you only need 16,000 pets across 183,000 users to be uncommon? That means statistically 0.087% of users have the royal lions, and they are tagged uncommon. Whut. I'll be very interested to see what the user count is when they tick over to rare. We may be able to use it to get an idea of the rare cutoff % from them. Not that it will be in any way useful to us

[Bartimaeus]

Well here's a thought. We do not know the percentage cutoffs for the different rarities but there's this...
I just looked at Hunter The Hunter's collection of maps. (The ones you traded to him for your set of Royal Lions at the Faire a few weeks ago) He's got 15,993. This means he released that many sets of Royal Lions into circulation. And they are not Rare but Uncommon. Put another way, there are 15,933 of each lion as they were released as a set. So we know to become rare there has to be at least a little less than this number. Therefore there have to be AT LEAST 16,000 Shima Longtails. I don't think there are 30 thousand though just because there were far far fewer members back then. (don't know the exact number) And while each person did not get a Shima Longtail from their adoptions that month. Some people got two or three so this might even it out. Can anybody find out how many members there were listed back in November of 2009?

... you only need 16,000 pets across 183,000 users to be uncommon? That means statistically 0.087% of users have the royal lions, and they are tagged uncommon. Whut. I'll be very interested to see what the user count is when they tick over to rare. We may be able to use it to get an idea of the rare cutoff % from them. Not that it will be in any way useful to us

But it would be interesting to find out, no?
You have to keep in mind that a lot of users have either quit or are inactive so many of the users are simply a number and no-one has touched the account since. Inactive accounts aren't usually(to my knowledge) deleted unless the user has specifically asked for this to happen. So I'm guessing the majority of users on this site are actually just inactive or quitting ones. So I don't think 16,000 is too little really.

~Barty

['Possum]

Well here's a thought. We do not know the percentage cutoffs for the different rarities but there's this...
I just looked at Hunter The Hunter's collection of maps. (The ones you traded to him for your set of Royal Lions at the Faire a few weeks ago) He's got 15,993. This means he released that many sets of Royal Lions into circulation. And they are not Rare but Uncommon. Put another way, there are 15,933 of each lion as they were released as a set. So we know to become rare there has to be at least a little less than this number. Therefore there have to be AT LEAST 16,000 Shima Longtails. I don't think there are 30 thousand though just because there were far far fewer members back then. (don't know the exact number) And while each person did not get a Shima Longtail from their adoptions that month. Some people got two or three so this might even it out. Can anybody find out how many members there were listed back in November of 2009?

... you only need 16,000 pets across 183,000 users to be uncommon? That means statistically 0.087% of users have the royal lions, and they are tagged uncommon. Whut. I'll be very interested to see what the user count is when they tick over to rare. We may be able to use it to get an idea of the rare cutoff % from them. Not that it will be in any way useful to us

But it would be interesting to find out, no?
You have to keep in mind that a lot of users have either quit or are inactive so many of the users are simply a number and no-one has touched the account since. Inactive accounts aren't usually(to my knowledge) deleted unless the user has specifically asked for this to happen. So I'm guessing the majority of users on this site are actually just inactive or quitting ones. So I don't think 16,000 is too little really.

~Barty

Yes a lot of them are inactive and dead accounts. But if they're still listed as accounts they count towards the statistical rarity of the pets. So, hmm these are some very interesting numbers. For someone who's horrid at math I really do love numbers and statistics. I am a walking talking oxymoron.

[Minimanta]

I heard somewhere that Staff litters would never go rare.
I'm not sure if it's true or not, just saying c:
/offtopic. I can't wait for the Staff litters this year <3
-Khe.

Oh they will go rare someday, just like any other pet =3 There where just not any rare outcome from the litters to avoid that some of the artists should feel that their dog wasn't as good as the others^^

So the fact that they all had the same rarity within the litter means that they will all go rare pretty much at the same time.

[faraday]

Ooh, look who went rare!~<3

[Sagiri]

Will the ravendog become very rare?

[Mythicwave]

Will the ravendog become very rare?

At some point. I have no idea beyond that.