โฅPrincess of Lionsโฅ wrote:gansey wrote:ah thank you i did not realize that was the reason. also, another question:
on the list here is says pink sorberts = all other sorberts in value (0.5 Non) but i consistently see people value them at 0.75 Non. is this an accurate representation of their value? is the demand any different for the pink?
Most people disagree with valuing the pink sorbet at 0.5 and put it a little higher because itโs the only sorbet that has been OMGSR at some point in the past, which tells us that the pink sorbet is more rare of an outcome than the other three.
Sorbets are one of the only litters where it was revealed that they are all equal in rarity. One going OMGSR didn't mean it was rarer than the others, it meant that the whole litter was on the cusp, and that slight variation in rarity would have been changed by the next rerelease.
To explain the cusp for those who are unfamiliar, let's say for example that the cut off point for OMGSR was 2000 pets.
Maybe there were 1999 pink, 2001 blue, 2002 green etc. That would put pink at omgsr (above the 2000 cut off) and the others not, but functionally their supply is about the same. The next rerelease might result in about 400 new puppies, which statistically means 100 of each colour, but that's not exactly how randomisation works - maybe there were 102 pinks and 98 greens for example. Add these on to the existing counts and you end up with 2101 pink and 2100 green, and suddenly pink isn't the rarest anymore is it. This is how randomisation works - a coin has a 50/50 chance of being heads or tails, but if you flip it twice you may end up with tails twice. Over 100 flips you might end up with 49 heads, 51 tails. Randomisation.
This is why using historical rarity data is problematic. One pet being slightly rarer than another one 5 or 10 years ago means very little about the rarity of those pets in relation to each other today. Between rereleases and rarity label changes, we have very little information about the rarities of different pets now. It's interesting to think about, but makes estimating comparative rarity within the same label extremely difficult. We no longer have any evidence whatsoever that any UR pet is rarer than any other UR pet for example. Rarity data from 2-3 rarity systems ago is not useful anymore. I wish we had pet numbers, but I understand why we don't.
kivr & fireflii wrote:kivr & fireflii wrote:Might have missed it at some point (I don't really participate in these discussions), but where does the "1 MA = 10 old rares" come from? It seems arbitrarily decided for sake of simplicity (10, 15, 20, etc.).
-firefii
Still wondering how this was decided. Was there a discussion I missed?
-fireflii
I assume that someone just randomly made it up? Valuing OMGSRs in Rs while ignoring VRs and ERs makes no sense, a step up approach would've been so much easier to manage. Redefining MAs because the rarity of the pets that traded for them made no sense either. If pets that are 2011 VRs is what traded for MAs previously, why is that no longer acceptable just because they changed rarity? I don't get what the trading community is trying to do with their value guides, I really don't.